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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="en">JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn publication-format="print">2782-4586</issn>
   <issn publication-format="online">2949-1851</issn>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">106729</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26118/2782-4586.2025.29.11.025</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Научные статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en">
     <subject>SCIENTIFIC ARTICLES</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group>
     <subject>Научные статьи</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="en">REAL OPTIONS IN THE VALUATION OF HIGH-TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES: USING PATENT AND R&amp;D INDICATORS TO EXPLAIN M&amp;A PREMIUMS</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>РЕАЛЬНЫЕ ОПЦИОНЫ В ОЦЕНКЕ ВЫСОКОТЕХНОЛОГИЧНЫХ КОМПАНИЙ: ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕ ПАТЕНТНЫХ И R&amp;D-ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ ДЛЯ ОБЪЯСНЕНИЯ ПРЕМИЙ В СДЕЛКАХ ПО СЛИЯНИЮ И ПОГЛАЩЕНИЮ</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <contrib-group content-type="authors">
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Гафаров</surname>
       <given-names>Мунхадж Гафараевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Gafarov</surname>
       <given-names>Munhadzh Gafaraevich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>gafarov.99@yandex.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Московский финансово-промышленный университет «Синергия»</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Moscow Financial-Industrial University «Synergy»</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <pub-date publication-format="print" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2026-01-18T00:00:00+03:00">
    <day>18</day>
    <month>01</month>
    <year>2026</year>
   </pub-date>
   <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2026-01-18T00:00:00+03:00">
    <day>18</day>
    <month>01</month>
    <year>2026</year>
   </pub-date>
   <issue>12</issue>
   <fpage>206</fpage>
   <lpage>210</lpage>
   <history>
    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2025-11-16T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>16</day>
     <month>11</month>
     <year>2025</year>
    </date>
   </history>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://zhpi.ru/en/nauka/article/106729/view">https://zhpi.ru/en/nauka/article/106729/view</self-uri>
   <abstract xml:lang="ru">
    <p>Статья предлагает концептуально-методический подход к оценке высокотехнологичных компаний в сделках слияний и поглощений на основе интеграции патентных и НИОКР-показателей в модели реальных опционов. Показано, что количественные характеристики патентного портфеля и исследовательской активности могут быть сопоставлены с ключевыми параметрами опционных моделей — волатильностью, вероятностью успешной реализации проекта, сроком «жизни» опционов и интенсивностью появления новых возможностей. Предлагаемая схема позволяет объяснить часть премии по сделкам за счёт инновационного потенциала и технологической неопределённости, что повышает обоснованность оценки и снижает риск завышения стоимости.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>The article develops a conceptual and methodological framework for valuing high-technology companies in mergers and acquisitions by integrating patent and R&amp;D indicators into real options models. It demonstrates how observable measures of patent portfolios and research intensity correspond to key option parameters—volatility, probability of project success, option life, and the arrival rate of new technological opportunities. The proposed framework explains a substantial share of acquisition premiums through innovation potential and technological uncertainty, thereby improving valuation transparency and reducing the risk of overpayment.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>реальные опционы</kwd>
    <kwd>высокотехнологичные компании</kwd>
    <kwd>патентные показатели</kwd>
    <kwd>НИОКР</kwd>
    <kwd>слияния и поглощения</kwd>
    <kwd>премии</kwd>
    <kwd>оценка стоимости</kwd>
    <kwd>технологическая неопределённость</kwd>
    <kwd>инновационный потенциал</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>real options</kwd>
    <kwd>high-technology firms</kwd>
    <kwd>patent indicators</kwd>
    <kwd>R&amp;D intensity</kwd>
    <kwd>M&amp;A premiums</kwd>
    <kwd>valuation</kwd>
    <kwd>technological uncertainty</kwd>
    <kwd>innovation potential</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
  </article-meta>
 </front>
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