Financial security of the Russian national economy in the context of geopolitical transformation and technological sovereignty
Abstract and keywords
Abstract:
The relevance of the study is due to profound structural changes in the global financial system, the intensification of geopolitical confrontation and increased sanctions pressure on Russia, which requires a revision of traditional approaches to ensuring financial security. In the context of the "new reality", there is a need to form a stable, self-sufficient and technologically independent economic model capable of resisting external challenges and ensuring internal development. The purpose of the study is to analyze the state and dynamics of the financial security components of the Russian national economy in 2020-2024, taking into account modern geo-economic and technological challenges, as well as to formulate proposals for its strengthening based on updated macroeconomic data. The research uses methods of system analysis, comparative analysis, statistical analysis, expert assessment, as well as methods of predictive modeling based on official statistics (Rosstat, Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation, Bank of Russia, IMF, World Bank). The hypothesis of the study is that under conditions of sanctions pressure and geopolitical isolation, Russia is able to ensure a stable level of financial security through internal economic transformation, de-dollarization, the development of national financial infrastructure and the transition to a two-circuit economic model. The scientific novelty of the study is to update the quantitative and qualitative indicators of Russia's financial security in all key components (budget, tax, debt, currency, investment, insurance and stock), as well as to substantiate a strategy for long-term financial stability based on technological sovereignty and the domestic market. The results of the study include the identified trends in reducing dependence on external sources of financing, the growth of domestic investment activity, the strengthening of the ruble as a settlement currency in trade with friendly countries, as well as the formation of prerequisites for the creation of an alternative global financial architecture. In conclusion, the need for a systematic approach to financial security is emphasized, based on the coordination of macroeconomic, industrial and social policies, as well as on the development of institutions of trust in the national financial system.

Keywords:
financial security, national economy, de-dollarization, technological sovereignty, two-circuit model, investment activity, budget deficit, gold and foreign exchange reserves
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